张二震, 戴翔, 张雨. 中美经贸摩擦:短期应对与长期机制建设[J]. 华南师范大学学报(社会科学版), 2020, (4): 95-109.
引用本文: 张二震, 戴翔, 张雨. 中美经贸摩擦:短期应对与长期机制建设[J]. 华南师范大学学报(社会科学版), 2020, (4): 95-109.
ZHANG Er-zhen, DAI Xiang, ZHANG Yu. Sino-US Economic and Trade Frictions: Short-Term Response and Long-Term Mechanism Construction[J]. Journal of South China normal University (Social Science Edition), 2020, (4): 95-109.
Citation: ZHANG Er-zhen, DAI Xiang, ZHANG Yu. Sino-US Economic and Trade Frictions: Short-Term Response and Long-Term Mechanism Construction[J]. Journal of South China normal University (Social Science Edition), 2020, (4): 95-109.

中美经贸摩擦:短期应对与长期机制建设

Sino-US Economic and Trade Frictions: Short-Term Response and Long-Term Mechanism Construction

  • 摘要: 中美第一阶段经贸协议的签署,意味着中美经贸摩擦出现了暂时缓和迹象,说明只要本着相互平等和相互尊重的态度和精神,中美两国经贸分歧是可以通过对话磋商找到解决问题的办法的。从美国发起对华经贸摩擦的真实战略意图以及本质原因看,中美经贸摩擦长期性、复杂性和多变性的本质不会改变。因此,一方面,要丢掉中美经贸摩擦可以在短期内实现速战速决的幻想;另一方面,要着眼未来、沉着应对。短期应对措施的核心和关键在于,根据美国发动经贸摩擦所采取的具体举措,见招拆招、“斗而不破”,通过不停地接触、试探、谈判等方式与美国周旋,防止中美“脱钩”,并尽可能地将负面冲击降至最低程度,为中国进一步扩大开放争取时间并争取和创造尽可能有利的外部环境。长期应对措施的核心和关键在于,保持战略定力,重新思索贸易立国战略并尽快实现战略转型,提升参与和治理经济全球化的能力,最终与美国形成良性的竞合关系。

     

    Abstract: The signing of the first phase of China-US economic and trade agreement means that Sino-US economic and trade frictions have shown signs of easing temporarily, indicating that as long as the attitude and spirit of equality and mutual respect are upheld, the economic and trade differences between China and the United States can be resolved through dialogue and consultation. From the perspective of the true strategic intentions and essential causes of the United States to initiate economic and trade frictions with China, the long-term, complex and volatile nature of Sino-US economic and trade frictions will not change. Therefore, on the one hand, we should discard the illusion that the trade frictions between China and the United States can be resolved in a short period of time; on the other hand, we should focus on the future and deal with the frictions calmly. The core and key short-term response measures are as follows: responding quickly and effectively according to the specific measures taken by the United States to initiate economic and trade frictions, fighting without breaking; treating the United States with constant contact, trial, negotiation, etc. to prevent the decoupling of China and the United States; and minimizing the negative impact as much as possible, so as to gain time for China to further open up and create an external environment as favorable as possible. The core and key long-term response measures contain maintaining strategic focus, rethinking the national strategy of trade and realizing the strategic transformation as soon as possible, enhancing the ability to participate in and govern economic globalization, and eventually forming a benign competitive relationship with the United States.

     

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