数字普惠金融对农村金融机构风险承担的影响:抑制还是促进

The Impact of Digital Inclusive Finance on the Risk-Taking of Rural Financial Institutions: Inhibition or Promotion

  • 摘要: 防范农村金融风险、完善农村金融机构风险控制体系,是提高农村金融服务可得性的关键,也是金融助力乡村振兴的必要条件。数字普惠金融作为技术驱动的金融创新,为控制农村金融机构风险承担水平提供了新的发展思路。使用中国982家农村信用社和农村商业银行2014—2016年的数据,利用面板固定效应模型,探讨数字普惠金融对农村金融机构风险承担的影响,并进一步利用面板门槛模型,分析数字普惠金融对不同资产规模的农村金融机构风险承担的差异性影响,发现数字普惠金融与农村金融机构风险承担之间存在倒“U”型关系:随着数字普惠金融发展程度不断加深,农村金融机构风险承担水平先上升后下降,且这一结果在使用工具变量缓解内生性问题和一系列稳健性检验后依然成立。进一步研究发现,不同资产规模的农村金融机构对数字普惠金融的响应也不同,具体表现在:小型金融机构风险承担水平随着数字普惠金融发展程度提高而提高;大中型金融机构风险承担水平随着数字普惠金融发展程度提高而降低,并且数字普惠金融更有利于大型金融机构风险承担水平的降低。因此,农村金融机构在发展数字普惠金融时应当结合自身实际选择合适的数字化程度,监管部门也应当针对数字普惠金融不同发展阶段出台相应的引导措施,精准助力农村金融发展。

     

    Abstract: Preventing rural financial risks and improving the risk control system of rural financial institutions are the key to improving the availability of rural financial services and the necessary conditions for financial assistance to rural revitalization. As a technology-driven financial innovation, digital financial inclusion provides a new development idea for controlling the risk taking level of rural financial institutions. Using data from 982 rural credit cooperatives and rural commercial banks in China from 2014-2016, this paper explores the impact of digital inclusive finance on the risk-taking level of rural financial institutions using a panel fixed-effects model, and further analyzes the differential impact of digital inclusive finance on the risk-taking level of rural financial institutions with different asset sizes using a panel threshold model. It is found that there is an inverted "U" -shaped relationship between digital financial inclusion and risk taking of rural financial institutions: as the development of digital inclusive finance increases, the risk-taking level of rural financial institutions increases and then decreases This result is still established after the use of instrumental variables to alleviate endogenous problems and a series of robustness tests. Further research found that the risk bearing level of small financial institutions increases with the improvement of the development degree of digital financial inclusion; the risk bearing level of large and medium-sized financial institutions decreases with the improvement of the development degree of digital financial inclusion, and the digital financial inclusion is more conducive to the reduction of the risk assumption level of large financial institutions. Therefore, rural financial institutions should choose the appropriate digital degree when developing digital inclusive finance, and the regulatory authorities should also introduce corresponding guiding measures for the different development stages of digital inclusive finance to help the development of rural finance.

     

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